Predictions for ‘Red wall’ seats

These are seats that it is important for Labour to win back.

“The red wall is a term used to describe the UK Parliament constituencies in the Midlands and Northern England that historically supported the Labour Party. At the 2019 general election, many of these parliamentary seats were won by the Conservative Party, with the media describing the red wall as having “turned blue”Wikipedia

Below is the full list of 60 seats lost by Labour in the 2019 general election.

  1. Ashfield, Natalie Fleet (replacing Gloria de Piero) – Leave vote in 2016: 70.5% ………. (Latest)
  2. Barrow and Furness, Chris Altree (replacing John Woodcock) – Leave vote in 2016: 57.3% ………. (Latest)
  3. Bassetlaw, Keir Morrison (replacing John Mann) – Leave vote in 2016: 68.3% ………. (Latest)
  4. Birmingham Northfield, Richard Burden – Leave vote in 2016: 61.8% ………. (Latest)
  5. Bishop Auckland, Helen Goodman – Leave vote in 2016: 60.9% ………. (Latest)
  6. Blackpool South, Gordon Marsden – Leave vote in 2016: 67.8% ………. (Latest) 
  7. Blyth Valley, Susan Dungworth (replacing Ronnie Campbell) – Leave vote in 2016: 60.5% ………. (Latest)
  8. Bolsover, Dennis Skinner – Leave vote in 2016: 70.4% ………. (Latest)
  9. Bolton North East, David Crausby – Leave vote in 2016: 58.1% ………. (Latest)
  10. Bridgend, Madeleine Moon – Leave vote in 2016: 50.3% ………. (Latest)
  11. Burnley, Julie Cooper – Leave vote in 2016: 66.6% ………. (Latest)
  12. Bury North, James Frith – Leave vote in 2016: 53.7% ………. (Latest)
  13. Bury South, Lucy Burke (replacing Ivan Lewis) – Leave vote in 2016: 54.5% ………. (Latest)
  14. Clwyd South, Susan Elan Jones – Leave vote in 2016: 59.9% (Clwyd East, Clwyd North) :
Split between:

Clwyd East ………. (Latest)
Dwyfor Meirionnydd ………. (Latest
Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr ………. (Latest)
Wrexham ………. (Latest)

  1. Coatbridge and Bellshill, Hugh Gaffney – Remain vote in 2016: 61.2% ………. (Latest)
  2. Colne Valley, Thelma Walker – Leave vote in 2016: 50.1% ………. (Latest)
  3. Crewe and Nantwich, Laura Smith – Leave vote in 2016: 60.3% ………. (Latest)
  4. Darlington, Jenny Chapman – Leave vote in 2016: 58.1% ………. (Latest)
  5. Delyn, David Hanson – Leave vote in 2016: 54.4%:
Split between:

Alyn and Deeside  ………. (Latest)
Clwyd East ………. (Latest)

  1. Derby North, Tony Tinley (replacing Chris Williamson) – Leave vote in 2016: 54.3% ………. (Latest)
  2. Dewsbury, Paula Sherriff – Leave vote in 2016: 57.2% ………. (Latest)
  3. Don Valley, Caroline Flint – Leave vote in 2016: 68.5%
Now includes:

Isle of Axholme ………. (Latest)
Borough of North Lincolnshire ……….Latest)
Lost some to Rawmarsh and Conisbrough ………. (Latest)

  1. Dudley North, Melanie Dudley (replacing Ian Austin) – Leave vote in 2016: 71.4% ………. (Latest)
  2. Durham North West, Laura Pidcock – Leave vote in 2016: 55.1% ………. (Latest)
  3. East Lothiian, Martin Whitfield – Remain vote in 2016: 64.6% ………. (Latest) xxxx
  4. Gedling, Vernon Coaker – Leave vote in 2016: 56.3% ………. (Latest)
  5. Glasgow North East, Paul Sweeney – Remain vote in 2016: 59.3% ………. (Latest)
  6. Great Grimsby, Melanie Onn – Leave vote in 2016: 71.5% ………. (Latest)
  7. Heywood and Middleton, Liz McInnes – Leave vote in 2016: 62.4% ………. (Latest)
  8. High Peak, Ruth George – Leave vote in 2016: 50.6% ………. (Latest)
  9. Hyndburn, Graham Jones – Leave vote in 2016: 65.8% ………. (Latest)
  10. Ipswich, Sandy Martin – Leave vote in 2016: 56.5% ………. (Latest)
  11. Keighley, John Grogan – Leave vote in 2016: 53.3% ………. (Latest)
  12. Kensington, Emma Dent Coad – Remain vote in 2016: 68.8% ………. (Latest)
  13. Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath, Lesley Laird – Remain vote in 2016: 56.7% ………. (Latest)
  14. Leigh, Jo Platt – Leave vote in 2016: 63.3% ………. (Latest)
  15. Lincoln, Karen Lee – Leave vote in 2016: 57.4% ………. (Latest)
  16. Midlothian, Danielle Rowley – Remain vote in 2016: 62.1% ………. (Latest)
  17. Newcastle-under-Lyme, Carl Greatbatch replacing Paul Farrelly – Leave vote in 2016: 61.6% ………. (Latest)
  18. Penistone and Stocksbridge, Fran Johnson replacing Angela Smith – Leave vote in 2016: 60.7% ………. (Latest)
  19. Peterborough, Lisa Forbes – Leave vote in 2016: 61.3% ………. (Latest)
  20. Redcar, Anna Turley – Leave vote in 2016: 67.7% ………. (Latest)
  21. Rother Valley, Sophie Wilson replacing Kevin Barron – Leave vote in 2016: 66.7% ………. (Latest)
  22. Rutherglen and Hamilton West, Ged Killen – Remain vote in 2016: 62.4% ………. (Latest)
  23. Scunthorpe, Nic Dakin – Leave vote in 2016: 68.7% ………. (Latest)
  24. Sedgefield, Phil Wilson – Leave vote in 2016: 59.4% ………. (Latest)
  25. Stockton North, Paul Williams – Leave vote in 2016: 57.8% ………. (Latest)
  26. Stoke-on-Trent Central, Gareth Snell – Leave vote in 2016: 64.9% ………. (Latest)
  27. Stoke-on-Trent North, Ruth Smeeth – Leave vote in 2016: 72.1% ………. (Latest)
  28. Stroud, David Drew – Remain vote in 2016: 54.1% ………. (Latest)
  29. Clwyd, Chris Ruane – Leave vote in 2016: 56.6% ………. (Latest)
  30. Wakefield and Rothwell, Mary Creagh – Leave vote in 2016: 62.8% ………. (Latest)
  31. Warrington South, Faisal Rashid – Leave vote in 2016: 51.1% ………. (Latest)
  32. West Bromwich East, Ibrahim Dogus (replacing Tom Watson) – Leave vote in 2016: 68.2% ………. (Latest)
  33. West Bromwich West, James Cunningham replacing Adrian Bailey – Leave vote in 2016: 68.7% ………. (Latest)
  34. Wolverhampton North East, Emma Reynolds – Leave vote in 2016: 67.7% ………. (Latest)
  35. Wolverhampton South East, Eleanor Smith – Leave vote in 2016: 54.4% ………. (Latest)
  36. Workington, Sue Hayman – Leave vote in 2016: 61.0% ………. (Latest)
  37. Wrexham, Mary Wimbury replacing Ian Lucas – Leave vote in 2016: 57.6% ………. (Latest)
  38. Ynys Môn, Mary Roberts replacing Albert Owen – Leave vote in 2016: 50.9% ………. (Latest)